Şu yaşadıklarımıza sadece "resesyon" (teknik tanımıyla iki çeyrek üstüste negatif büyüme)diyenler çoğunlukta. Büyüklüğünü ifade etmek için mevcut manzaraya daha uygun olan depresyon (GSMH'nın >%10 daralması) kavramını seçmek yerine, resesyon kavramına "büyük" sıfatını eklemek tercih ediliyor, algı ve beklenti yönetiminin bir parçası olarak!
Bugün İngiltere'nin büyüme verisi açıklandı. İngiltere 2009 üçüncü çeyrekte de negatif büyümüş, yani -beklentilerin aksine- resesyondan yine çıkamamış! Altı çeyrek olmuş negatif büyüme! Birkaç çeyrek sonra ikna olacak bugün resesyon diyenler...
Bugün okuduğum bir yazı, "vaziyet gittikçe depresyona benziyor" demiş ve grafiklerle açıklamış durumu.
Sesi çok çıkanlar korosu "Resesyondan çıkıyoruz" demeye devam ederken "durum depresyona dönüyor" diyenlere yavaş yavaş alışmak lazım!
Peak Watch
More Like A Depression Every Day
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